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Friday Mar 5th, 2010
MTT Quarterly Earnings Newsletter
Monday March 1st -- Friday March 5th
(This Week In Review)
Welcome
Fellow Traders & Investors,
To another week of our Quarterly Earnings
Newsletter! If you are visiting for the first time -- I'm glad you took the time to review my newsletter -- hopefully
you'll get some good ideas to put on your (Opportunities List) for the coming weeks.
If you have not taken the 7-Day Free
Trial of my software
program, get your copy downloaded today and see how much simpler this program makes your stock price calculations!
Get the answers to your most Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) --
Click Here!
This weeks comments: Once again -- Just like the past few weeks -- more of the same
this week as financial news, economic reports, and crude oil prices topped the headlines.
If you missed a few good opportunities this week -- not to worry, there's still time to buy other opportunities for the weeks to come.
The Big News This Week: More positive sentiment in the overall market this week as investors were a bit more comfortable with the
potential for the market to head higher in the coming weeks. Overall retail sales numbers reported better than expected which helped boost
some of the retail sector companies. The Jobs Bill passes, and health reform is still a big issues for the healthcare sector. Tech sector was
helped by price target upgrades for Apple Inc., and Google Inc.!
As I have mentioned the past weeks, sentiment will be changing from week to week as investors are still nervous
about how this recovery is moving along.
For the next several weeks the focus is going to be on "preparation for investment opportunities coming up
for March and April Stock Options". Most of the major companies and financials have finished with reporting another
quarter of earnings, so we'll take some time to do our Due Diligence and look for what's coming up. Right now it's
all about "Timing", "Price Tracking", and "Planning for opportunities to buy!"
One of the best "price mover" opportunities I have been tracking and buying over the past few months is "NDX"!
This is the "CBOE Nasdaq 100 Index."
Click Here!
to see the information I put together for this opportunity -- you definitely want this one on your "Stock Options Investment List"!
For the first quarter of the year companies are gearing up for the new year with new goals, new revenue expectations, and new strategies to help boost Top and Bottom line revenues. Technology will still be the leader. Energy, healthcare, and agriculture sectors should have good price movement also. The Retail sector has already shown reports of good overall returns from the holidays, and that's a good sign that consumers are expected
to continue spending a little more in the retail sector.
Nevertheless, there's still
plenty of pressure on the overall market to show consistent improvements in the financials for the next quarter.
If the financial sector can continue to move higher -- we will see the rest of the market sectors follow. Continue to reallocate some
funds for your accounts, more opportunities are coming and you want to be ready to take advantage.
There's still great potential for good investments (see the list of upcoming earnings report dates below)! For those
of you looking to practice on some "price tracking" -- here's one company that I follow most every week which has
good trade volume, stock option volume and significant price movement. If you don't have it on your watch list --
now's a good time to add it!!! "FSLR" (First Solar Inc.)! (Along with "NDX", and most recently "CME")!!
This is one of my Top Buys list opportunities with consistent price movement and available stock options that trade
with good volume. That's what we look for in "price tracking"!!
Share price didn't have any significant price move this week. Usually this is a big price mover along with the overall market moves, but investors didn't have much interest in moving the share price this week. Nevertheless, the share price will start to move again.
Share price was up over $140 (7 weeks ago). Trading range should continue to be around the $100 mark for
resistance (the low level), so we will look to consider picking up stock options if the share price pulls back
around the $100 range. This is a great opportunity to start planning for the next earnings timeframe. You can also start buying
"FSLR" in your Virtual Trading Platform (on OptionsXpress.com) -- this will also give you some good practice
before you buy with real money.
If you have been following the activity for this company over the past few months, this is definitely a price
mover,,,,get your money ready -- there's more to come!!!
Congratulations to some of you that took some risk this week -- if you didn't buy any positions this
week,,,,that's OK -- We'll have more opportunity next week. Not to worry,,,there's more opportunity coming to recover.
(AAPL, AMZN, BIG, CME, GOOG, GS, ISRG, NDX, PCLN, POT, RUT, SHLD, WLT, X ) did have a good price spike this week! Next
week we'll look for more opportunities for both "Call" and "PUT" opportunities!!
Major Investors are still looking for good opportunity and once they have a better feel for how the credit market,
banking financial stability, and most recently the energy situation will be handled, they will be looking to buy again at low prices for sure. That's the strategy that gets the best returns. Look for opportunities to buy low in good quality companies -- and now look to sell short
(or buy the PUT Options) when prices run up really high. Since the "Short-Sale" rules are changing for some companies -- it might be harder now
to get shares to short, but shorting is still a valid strategy. PUT Options are still available, but might have higher premium prices now that
the focus for the past month has been on trying to protect some financial companies from excessive Short-Seller activity. Nevertheless, there's
still opportunity!
So,,,What does all of this mean?? Just like every week -- Once again -- Price Movement!!! That's the key! We want the market to have something to churn and talk about.....that's what makes it move up and down -- and in turn we'll take some profits along the way!!!
This week was another great example of the volatility the stock market can have in some sectors. If you are just sitting on the sidelines watching, now is a good time to start planning your next move. Opportunities will open up as prices continue to go lower,,,after a big sell off is when you do your planning strategies and look for those buying opportunities.
If you want to review the Day-By-Day breakdown of major activity in the stock market. Check out "www.nbr.com" Slide your mouse pointer
over the wording "The Program", then select "Market Focus with Tom Hudson". Here you'll find the daily headlines for stocks in the news. Also, www.marketwatch.com has excellent commentary.
Important Up-Coming Events: (Activities that generally contribute to stock price movement) Note: These are tentative dates and sometimes change.
- TIVO - Tivo Inc. (Q4 2010 Earnings scheduled for 3/08/10) After Market Closes
- JCG - J. Crew Group Inc. (Q4 2009 Earnings scheduled for 3/09/10) After Market Closes
- NKE - Nike Inc. (Q3 2010 Earnings scheduled for 3/17/10) After Market Closes
- DRI - Darden Restaurants Inc. (Q3 2010 Earnings scheduled for 3/23/10) After Market Closes
- BBY - Best Buy Co. Inc. (Q4 2010 Earnings scheduled for 3/25/10) Before Market Opens
- APOL - Apollo Group Inc. (Q2 2010 Earnings scheduled for 3/29/10) Before Market Opens
- RIMM - Research In Motion (Q4 2010 Earnings scheduled for 3/31/10) After Market Closes
- FDO - Family Dollar Stores (Q2 2010 Earnings scheduled for 4/07/10) Before Market Opens
Note: It is not recommended that you hold stock option positions going into the earnings announcement. That's a crucial time when share prices and stock option prices can significantly drop if there is any negative earnings news or negative future outlook. Wait until the earnings news and company conference calls are completed, then check the pricing to see what has happened -- you will have a better opportunity to make the right decision on when to buy into a position after the news is announced instead of buying into a position ahead of earnings news.
If you want to take a small risk -- just go with "1" low-cost CALL option if you think the share price will trade up once the earnings news is released. If you think the share price will trade down once the earnings news is released -- go with "1" low-cost PUT option. Another idea is to go with one of each (1 call and 1 put at the same time). If there is a big price swing (to one side or the other) you give yourself added
advantage for making a "overall" profit when you close out both positions and total up the profits. More details. >>>>
Click Here!
Now is a good time to start "Practicing" with "PUT OPTIONS" (which allow you to make money when stock prices trade lower). You can find out all about this strategy from the information in my FREE Education section and use my stock price calculation program to help you see what your calculations would be!
If you have any questions about the PUT Option Strategy -- let me know, I buy "PUT OPTIONS" also and try to
keep a simple straight forward approach!!
Click Here! To see an example!
See a few of the special articles on the "Right" side of the screen and click on the
"Click Here" pointers to take you directly to the Free Information that will also
help you in your investment efforts!
Major "Earnings Announcements" this week:
Here's a few from my Top Buys list and my alternative list that reported earnings this week that needed to be noted!
- AZO - AutoZone Inc. (Q2 2010 Earnings scheduled for 3/02/10) Before Market Opens.
Note: $168.79 +$3.05 on Thursday, +$1.17 on Friday. Earnings reported Q4 profits up 6%. Consumers are still fixing older vehicles
which helps boost earnings revenues for car-part retailers. Initially the share price traded down -- then traded up on Thursday and Friday as overall retail sales numbers reported better than expected. March 2010 $165 Call Options did well on the news as the share price traded up
at the end of the week.
Alternative List Companies -- potential buys ahead of earnings:
- BIG - Big Lots Inc. (Q4 2009 Earnings scheduled for 3/03/10) Before Market Opens.
Note: $36.09 +1.45 this week. Earnings reported beating estimates, also company boosts earnings
outlook and stated stock buy-back program to continue. Not a big price move as usual -- a small gain on the March 2010 32.50 Call Options
did well. FDO (Family Dollar Stores) and DLTR (Dollar Tree Inc.) also gained from Big Lots Inc. earnings news.
- JOYG - Joy Global Inc. (Q1 2010 Earnings scheduled for 3/03/10) Before Market Opens.
Note: $55.85 +3.75 this week. Earnings reported better than expected results despite revenues down slightly, but new orders
increased over 22%. Nice share price move on the news. Joy Global Inc. engages in the manufacture and servicing of mining equipment for the extraction of coal, copper, iron ore, oil sands, and other minerals worldwide.
Major "Special Notes" this week:
My Best “Top Buy” Investment -- Apple Inc. (AAPL) -- One of the Top Quality Technology companies with
great product lines, consistently good earnings, and high volume activity on their stock options. Major investors
quietly buy and sell large volumes of Apple Stock and Options every week – and it’s one of my top buys every month.
Share price target was raised to $265 -- Follow the price movement and activity on Apple Inc. over the next 6
months – this will give you good experience and first-hand exposure to following a Top Quality company investment.
Here's more details on previous low cost (AAPL) Stock Options! --
Click Here!
Note: Goldman Sachs Group (GS) NYSE: $167.39 -- Great earnings numbers reported in their last quarter.
Big price move this week up over $167, from $157 last week. Look for more upward price movement after any dips or market downturns.
Note: International Business Machines (IBM) NYSE: $127.19 -- No big price move this week, share price ended the week still at $127.
Good earnings report this past January for the 4th quarter. Trading range should stay around $120 - $130.
Watch for another opportunity as the share price usually trades up ahead of the next quarterly earnings timeframe.
Note: Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) NASD: $347.14 last week! -- Traded back up this week to over $358.40. Healthcare sector still in
the news due to the healthcare reform issues. Continue to track news and price movement
for the upcoming weeks! Any positive news in the healthcare sector also helps boost the ISRG share price. Stock
Options prices generally move higher too and are lowest during the last week before option expiration!
Note: ITT Educational Services (ESI) NASD: $110.92 -- Share price moving higher again this week. Earnings
timeframe coming in mid April 2010. Company reported last earnings in January with Better-than-expected earnings
news. Watch for more price movement as next earnings timeframe gets closer (around April 23rd). There will be more
opportunity around mid March 2010 before the April earnings date.
Note: McDonalds Corp. (MCD) NASD: $63.55 -- Good solid buy opportunity -- earnings reported good numbers
last quarter. New price range of $57 - $64 established over the past 13 weeks. Look to buy options when/if share
price goes under $57.00,,,share price usually gets a good boost on any specific good news or just ahead of
earnings timeframe. Another turnaround opportunity.
Note: Potash Corp. (POT) NASD: under $110.62 last week -- this week traded up over $117 on Friday -- (traded down from over $124.36 on Jan. 8th) -- Share price could start to move higher again now that the earnings news is unimportant. Just as we expected, "PUT Options" strategy
worked the best on this opportunity after the earnings news. Earnings missed estimates and negative outlook contributed to
the price drop for the past 5 weeks. Nevertheless, this is a big price mover for the agriculture sector -- Look
for another opportunity on any positive news for commodities!
Note: Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) NYSE: $29.06 -- (up from $8.94 -- last year) -- Another turnaround opportunity.
Warren Buffet still looking to invest further in WFC -- follow the smart money!!! More regulations from the
government on the financials is still keeping the sector from any significant higher price moves. Nevertheless,
there is still more opportunity here, but the most price movement for the big name financials will be on GS
(Goldman Sachs Group), DB (Deutsche Bank AG), STT (State Street Corp.) and NTRS (Northern Trust Corporation)!
This months FEATURED Article is "How To Find Low Cost Stock Options"!
Click here!
Click on the "7-Day Free Trial"
link on the "Left" side to see
how to download and install your FREE Copy of the software program Today!!
If you working with a Financial Planner, Investment Advisor, or Investment Group of friends, this is a great
program to have that will definitely help to quickly automate your planning strategies, quickly see figures for making adjustments and most of all eliminates those hard to figure calculations for buying company stocks or stock options!!
Click here!
To see all of the Software Program Advantages!
Jimmie V. Smith Jr.
markettrading@juno.com
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